Showing posts with label NCAA picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label NCAA picks. Show all posts

Friday, October 31, 2008

NCAA Winning Picks Week 10


After a 2 week hiatus, The Truth is back to throw some picks against the wall and see what sticks. It's been a disappointing year spotting a record of 21-20. So before Obama takes office and taxes the bejesus out of The Truth, let's make some coin! To get back to a better record we're throwing out 14 picks this week. No analysis needed. Just trust The Truth.

Illinois -2.5 vs. Iowa

Minnesota -7.5 vs. Northwestern

Mizzou -21 @ Baylor

Tulsa -7 @ Arkansas

Auburn +6.5 @ Ole Miss

Colorado +3.5 @ Texas A&M

Georgia +6.5 vs. Florida (Neutral Site)

Oregon +2.5 @ Cal

Texas -3.5 @ Texas Tech

Purdue -1.5 vs. Michigan

Wisconsin +5.5 @ Michigan State

Kentucky +2.5 @ Mississippi State

Florida State +2 @ Georgia Tech

TCU -14 @ UNLV

Friday, October 10, 2008

NCAA Winning Picks Week 7


I hope you jumped all over the winning picks last week as The Truth showcased his truthiness going 5-1. We're still yo-yoing through the season at 18-14. The road picks seem to be a sweet spot and shot probably stick to that format, but too many great games to pass up this week under that format. The Truth is bringing 8 games your way this week and one lock of the week special. Should be a great weekend for games.

Texas +7 vs. Oklahoma (in Dallas): Both teams are 5-0 heading into the Red River Rivalry. And both teams are perfect ATS this year. I like OU to win, but not by 7.

Kentucky +3 vs. South Carolina: I actually like UK as a 1 TD favorite here. I think it's actually a good thing that they didn't almost beat Bama at Bama last week. It will leave them hungry and shouldn't have a let down against the Gamecocks.

Mizzou -14 vs. Oklahoma State: What is it with the Big 12 and 5-0 teams? Two more undefeated teams that score points in bunches. Why is the spread so large? OSU is a pretender and Mizzou should expose them as such come Saturday. The line is where it should be so you'll probably see money split pretty evenly between these teams.

Georgia -12.5 vs. Tennessee: I like UGA by 2 TDs here with the Vols a dismal 1-4 ATS this year. Not only are the Vols not good this year, they just can't score. They squeaked out a win at home against Northern Illionois last week 13-9. At least with them not scoring, it cuts down on the times their band plays the God awful "Rocky Top."

Arizona State +28 vs. USC: Sanchez is banged up for the Trojans. But it shouldn't keep them from beating down on the Sun Devils. I just don't think it is 28 points worth of beat down.

Penn State -6 @ Wisconsin: Another undefeated team in Penn State who is 6-0. Not sure about this line. I like PSU by alot more. Wisconsin is 0-2 in the Big Ten. Where is the Joe Pa love? Penn State averages over 500 yards a game and gives up 250 yards.

LSU +6 @ Florida: Okay - if you want to avoid one of The Truth's picks, this is probably it. LSU is 1-2 ATS this year and 4-12 ATS against conference opponents the past 3 years. Florida is 2-0 ATS the past three years. This one is just a hunch.

LOCK OF THE WEEK
Vanderbilt -2 @ Mississippi State: Where is the love people? My Commodores are undefeated and leading the SEC East standings. This is the best sub-conference in America. They just beat Auburn for the first time since the Eisenhower administration so I get the "fluke" references. But they're playing MSU. Come on! I don't care that the Bulldogs put up a good fight against LSU last week. I'm saying Vandy by 50! Lay two units here. And no, there is no room on the Vandy Fanwagon, you haters.

Friday, October 3, 2008

NCAA Winning Picks Week 6

Wow. 1-4 last week, 1-5 when you count on the double bet. This lackluster showing brings the Truth season to 13-13 in total bets. Pretty pathetic by the Truth's standards. I'm either nailing it each week or on the receiving end. All you have to do is figure out which and you could clean up. Gotta change the mojo again so we're road tripping. 6 road teams to choose from. I'm predicting a 5-1 week.

Texas Tech -7 @ Kansas State. I'd be willing to lay up to 13 or 14 points here so it feels like a value bet. Tech scores at will and K State's D looks a little limp this year.

Kansas -11.5 @ Iowa State. Another spread that surprised me. I thought it would be around 18 or so. More value. The Jayhawks are 12-4 ATS with conference opponents the past 3 years so look for that trend to continue.

Illinois +2 @ Michigan. Yes, I'm picking against Michigan again this week. Unlike Wisconsin, Illinois has a pretty good offense and Michigan has proven over the past 2 years they can't handle an athletic QB. The Juice will be loose in Ann Arbor.

Mizzou -10.5 @ Nebraska. It's a pity both these teams can't lose. But this spread is WAY too low. I could see Mizzou as a 3 TD favority. Their offense is just that good. I'm not sure the Mizzou punter will see the field on Saturday.

Texas -13 @ CU. I'm a bit nervous about this one. Would have loved to see this spread at 10. But UT is 4-0 against the spread this year so let's hop on board.

Ohio State -1 @ Wisconsin. Beanie should be playing the entire game and Wisconsin showed last week they have some issues on offense. I should point out that Ohio State is 0-4 ATS this year. But don't you want to be there when they cover?

Friday, September 26, 2008

NCAA Winning Picks Week 5

The Truth is The Truth again after a perfect week 4. I hope you cashed in on last week's picks. We're going to ride our mojo into week 5 and make everyone some coin again. We here at FTT are givers. So hop on board and enjoy the ride. We're now 12-8 for the season after picking 5 games last week and telling you to double up on the Virginia Tech game. The Truth has another Lock of the Week double down special for you. The giving, it hurts!

Louisville -3.5 vs. UCONN. You think I'm crazy to bet against a 4-0 team? Let me share with you who UCONN has beaten this year: Hofstra, Temple (beat them in OT), Virginia (stinks) and Baylor. And you can start you weekend early by watching a game tonight that you otherwise wouldn't.

Michigan State -8.5 @ Indiana. I'm tempted to recommend the over here at 51. Both teams can put up points. But IU's lost by 3 TDs to Ball State last week leads me to believe they won't hang with MSU past the first.

Purdue +1 @ Notre Dame. Is my hatred for Notre Dame obvious? I put that aside when laying down coin though. ND is terrible. Their only wins were against even worse teams, Michigan and San Diego State. Purdue looks solid this year and barely lost to Oregon in OT. I like Purdue by a TD here, so again Vegas, thanks for the point.

Miami -7.5 vs. UNC. Miami is perfect ATS this year and kicked Texas A&M's teeth in at College Station last week. The Tar Holes aren't bad, but I don't think they hang with the Canes in Miami.

LOCK OF THE WEEK
Wisconsin -6.5 @ Michigan. What can I say. Bet against Michigan in every game where they aren't getting 14 points. They cannot move the ball. Lay 2 units on this game.

Friday, September 19, 2008

NCAA Winning Picks Week 4


It's been a tough season for my picks so far. We are struggling at 6-8. Time to turn things around. And how do you change your mojo? That's right, a road trip! So all picks this week will be on road teams. Let's make this exciting.

Vanderbilt +7 @ Ole Miss. Vandy is not only undefeated this season, but is 3-0 ATS. And they have proven the past few years to be great road dogs ATS. So we'll take the 7 points, thank you very much.

LSU -2.5 @ Auburn. Always a fantastic game. Auburn's D is fantastic but their offense just can't put points on the board. So I like LSU on the road here.

Miami -3 @ Texas A&M. Another game where I don't necessarily think the favorite is that good, I just think A&M is that bad. Tough to play at Kyle Field, but I think the Canes will over match the Aggies.

Georgia -7 @ Arizona St. Georgia has turned into this years "We don't get enough respect" team. They are looking to light it up after their tough roadie last week. Arizona St. - verdict is still out on whether they are a contender or a pretender. Let me save you the analysis - pretender.

LOCK OF THE WEEK
Virginia Tech +3
@ UNC. I can't believe I'm betting on the Hokies again and as my lock of the week. But I like them here as a touchdown favorite. But giving them 3 points is too good to pass up. Lay two units on this game.

Saturday, September 6, 2008

NCAA Winning Picks Week 2


Okay, off to a good start this season. Even though we went 2-2 on games last week, we went 4-2 on bets (tripling up on the Texas game). There are a lot of games I like this week and my picks are late, so no time for in depth analysis. Just follow my picks if you want to make some coin. Lay 1 unit on each game and 2 on the lock of the week.

Northwestern -6.5 at Duke. Coach Fitzgerald has done a fantastic job of continuing the rebuilding of this program. I like the Cats by 2 TDs in this game.

Boston College -6.5 at Georgia Tech. No analysis, just a gut feel.

West Virginia -7.5 at Eastern Carolina. Am I missing something here? Mountaineers roll in a laugher.

Oklahoma -21.5 vs. Cincinnati. Bob Stoops is gunning for a BCS championship. He's going to run it up on whoever he can. Cincy is the latest victim.

Pitt -13.5 vs. Buffalo. Wanstadt needs to win big. Today, he does.

Wake Forest -7.5 vs. Ole Miss. 7.5 on the road is alot for Wake to give up. I think they cover. Barely.

LOCK OF THE WEEK
Notre Dame vs. SDSU OVER 43.5
. Look, I hate putting two units on the domers. But frankly there D is going to suck again this year. Same with SDSU. Both teams will score early and often. Two units on the over here.